Significant security deterioration in Venezuela within 90 days
VENP = 0.71
Horizon: 90 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7138, CI=[0.5638, 0.8638]
Major conflict escalation in Venezuela within 30 days
VENP = 0.71
Horizon: 30 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7138, CI=[0.5638, 0.8638]
Significant security deterioration in Iran within 90 days
IRNP = 0.72
Horizon: 90 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7156, CI=[0.5656, 0.8656]
Major conflict escalation in Iran within 30 days
IRNP = 0.72
Horizon: 30 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7156, CI=[0.5656, 0.8656]
Significant security deterioration in Caucasus within 90 days
GEOP = 0.71
Horizon: 90 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7121, CI=[0.5621, 0.8621]
Major conflict escalation in Caucasus within 30 days
GEOP = 0.71
Horizon: 30 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7121, CI=[0.5621, 0.8621]
Significant security deterioration in South China Sea within 90 days
PHLP = 0.72
Horizon: 90 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7156, CI=[0.5656, 0.8656]
Major conflict escalation in South China Sea within 30 days
PHLP = 0.72
Horizon: 30 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7156, CI=[0.5656, 0.8656]
Significant security deterioration in Korean Peninsula within 90 days
PRKP = 0.72
Horizon: 90 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7156, CI=[0.5656, 0.8656]
Major conflict escalation in Korean Peninsula within 30 days
PRKP = 0.72
Horizon: 30 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7156, CI=[0.5656, 0.8656]
Significant security deterioration in Red Sea within 90 days
YEMP = 0.71
Horizon: 90 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7118, CI=[0.5618, 0.8618]
Major conflict escalation in Red Sea within 30 days
YEMP = 0.71
Horizon: 30 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7118, CI=[0.5618, 0.8618]
Significant security deterioration in Sahel within 90 days
MLIP = 0.71
Horizon: 90 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7071, CI=[0.5571, 0.8571]
Major conflict escalation in Sahel within 30 days
MLIP = 0.71
Horizon: 30 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7071, CI=[0.5571, 0.8571]
Significant security deterioration in Taiwan Strait within 90 days
TWNP = 0.71
Horizon: 90 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7142, CI=[0.5642, 0.8642]
Major conflict escalation in Taiwan Strait within 30 days
TWNP = 0.71
Horizon: 30 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7142, CI=[0.5642, 0.8642]
Significant security deterioration in Israel Lebanon within 90 days
ISRP = 0.71
Horizon: 90 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7121, CI=[0.5621, 0.8621]
Major conflict escalation in Israel Lebanon within 30 days
ISRP = 0.71
Horizon: 30 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7121, CI=[0.5621, 0.8621]
Significant security deterioration in Ukraine within 90 days
UKRP = 0.72
Horizon: 90 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7153, CI=[0.5653, 0.8653]
Major conflict escalation in Ukraine within 30 days
UKRP = 0.72
Horizon: 30 daysUpdated: 15h agoconflict
Drivers: Ensemble prediction (defence-active-1776898728341): P=0.7153, CI=[0.5653, 0.8653]
Political instability onset in ZWE within 2 years (as of 2025)
ZWEP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-1.04 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in ZAF within 2 years (as of 2025)
ZAFP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.42 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in YEM within 2 years (as of 2025)
YEMP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-1.77 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in VNM within 2 years (as of 2025)
VNMP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=1.96 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in VEN within 2 years (as of 2025)
VENP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=1.01 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in UZB within 2 years (as of 2025)
UZBP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.14 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in URY within 2 years (as of 2025)
URYP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.34 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in TZA within 2 years (as of 2025)
TZAP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=1.29 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in TWN within 2 years (as of 2025)
TWNP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.71 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in TUR within 2 years (as of 2025)
TURP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-1.44 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in TKM within 2 years (as of 2025)
TKMP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=3.00 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in THA within 2 years (as of 2025)
THAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.41 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in TGO within 2 years (as of 2025)
TGOP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=2.56 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in SYR within 2 years (as of 2025)
SYRP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=-1.52 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in SWE within 2 years (as of 2025)
SWEP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.41 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in SVN within 2 years (as of 2025)
SVNP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=2.18 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in SLV within 2 years (as of 2025)
SLVP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.15 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in SLE within 2 years (as of 2025)
SLEP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.03 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in SGP within 2 years (as of 2025)
SGPP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.41 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in SEN within 2 years (as of 2025)
SENP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-1.08 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in SDN within 2 years (as of 2025)
SDNP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=-1.55 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in SAU within 2 years (as of 2025)
SAUP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.15 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in RWA within 2 years (as of 2025)
RWAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.14 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in RUS within 2 years (as of 2025)
RUSP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.18 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in ROU within 2 years (as of 2025)
ROUP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.69 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in QAT within 2 years (as of 2025)
QATP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=1.25 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in PRY within 2 years (as of 2025)
PRYP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.14 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in PRK within 2 years (as of 2025)
PRKP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.83 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in POL within 2 years (as of 2025)
POLP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.19 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in PNG within 2 years (as of 2025)
PNGP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=1.03 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in PER within 2 years (as of 2025)
PERP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=1.32 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in PAN within 2 years (as of 2025)
PANP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.01 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in PAK within 2 years (as of 2025)
PAKP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.79 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in OMN within 2 years (as of 2025)
OMNP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=1.33 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in NZL within 2 years (as of 2025)
NZLP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.19 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in NPL within 2 years (as of 2025)
NPLP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.25 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in NOR within 2 years (as of 2025)
NORP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.55 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in NIC within 2 years (as of 2025)
NICP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.08 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in NGA within 2 years (as of 2025)
NGAP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=-0.36 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in NAM within 2 years (as of 2025)
NAMP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.06 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in MYS within 2 years (as of 2025)
MYSP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.35 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in MWI within 2 years (as of 2025)
MWIP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.10 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in MOZ within 2 years (as of 2025)
MOZP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.43 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in MNG within 2 years (as of 2025)
MNGP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.03 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in MMR within 2 years (as of 2025)
MMRP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-1.83 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in MEX within 2 years (as of 2025)
MEXP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.11 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in MDG within 2 years (as of 2025)
MDGP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.18 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in MDA within 2 years (as of 2025)
MDAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.56 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in LVA within 2 years (as of 2025)
LVAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.33 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in LTU within 2 years (as of 2025)
LTUP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.13 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in LBY within 2 years (as of 2025)
LBYP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=0.73 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in LBN within 2 years (as of 2025)
LBNP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-1.25 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in LAO within 2 years (as of 2025)
LAOP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.67 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in KWT within 2 years (as of 2025)
KWTP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.16 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in KHM within 2 years (as of 2025)
KHMP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=1.20 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in KEN within 2 years (as of 2025)
KENP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.46 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in KAZ within 2 years (as of 2025)
KAZP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=1.90 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in JPN within 2 years (as of 2025)
JPNP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.04 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in JAM within 2 years (as of 2025)
JAMP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.02 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in ITA within 2 years (as of 2025)
ITAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=1.22 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in ISR within 2 years (as of 2025)
ISRP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=-2.60 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in IRQ within 2 years (as of 2025)
IRQP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-1.25 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in IRN within 2 years (as of 2025)
IRNP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=-3.12 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in IRL within 2 years (as of 2025)
IRLP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.39 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in IND within 2 years (as of 2025)
INDP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.11 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in HTI within 2 years (as of 2025)
HTIP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.32 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in HRV within 2 years (as of 2025)
HRVP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.50 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in HND within 2 years (as of 2025)
HNDP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.18 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in GRC within 2 years (as of 2025)
GRCP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.92 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in GMB within 2 years (as of 2025)
GMBP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.47 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in GIN within 2 years (as of 2025)
GINP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.45 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in GHA within 2 years (as of 2025)
GHAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.24 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in GBR within 2 years (as of 2025)
GBRP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.33 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in GAB within 2 years (as of 2025)
GABP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.14 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in ETH within 2 years (as of 2025)
ETHP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=1.05 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in EST within 2 years (as of 2025)
ESTP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=1.94 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in ERI within 2 years (as of 2025)
ERIP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.78 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in EGY within 2 years (as of 2025)
EGYP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.52 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in DZA within 2 years (as of 2025)
DZAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.51 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in DNK within 2 years (as of 2025)
DNKP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.13 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in DJI within 2 years (as of 2025)
DJIP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.52 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in DEU within 2 years (as of 2025)
DEUP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.75 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in CZE within 2 years (as of 2025)
CZEP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.62 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in CYP within 2 years (as of 2025)
CYPP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.51 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in CUB within 2 years (as of 2025)
CUBP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-2.00 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in CRI within 2 years (as of 2025)
CRIP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.28 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in COL within 2 years (as of 2025)
COLP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-1.56 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in COD within 2 years (as of 2025)
CODP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=0.26 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in CMR within 2 years (as of 2025)
CMRP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.10 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in CIV within 2 years (as of 2025)
CIVP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.13 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in CAN within 2 years (as of 2025)
CANP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.03 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in CAF within 2 years (as of 2025)
CAFP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=0.13 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in BWA within 2 years (as of 2025)
BWAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.14 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in BRA within 2 years (as of 2025)
BRAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.14 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in BLR within 2 years (as of 2025)
BLRP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.65 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in BIH within 2 years (as of 2025)
BIHP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.11 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in BGD within 2 years (as of 2025)
BGDP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-1.04 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in BFA within 2 years (as of 2025)
BFAP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=0.19 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in BEN within 2 years (as of 2025)
BENP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=1 + gdeltZ=0.12 → p=11.1%.
Political instability onset in BEL within 2 years (as of 2025)
BELP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.14 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in ARM within 2 years (as of 2025)
ARMP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-0.29 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in ALB within 2 years (as of 2025)
ALBP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.19 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in AGO within 2 years (as of 2025)
AGOP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=0.18 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in AFG within 2 years (as of 2025)
AFGP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-4var (pitf-v2-gdelt): IMR unavailable — base + anocracy=0 + badNbhd=0 + gdeltZ=-2.13 → p=4.9%.
Political instability onset in ZWE within 2 years (as of 2017)
ZWEP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=54.2 logZ=1.30, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in ZMB within 2 years (as of 2017)
ZMBP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=38.8 logZ=0.99, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.42 (z=0.11). ...
Political instability onset in ZAF within 2 years (as of 2017)
ZAFP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=26.8 logZ=0.64, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.45 (z=-0.89)....
Political instability onset in YEM within 2 years (as of 2017)
YEMP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=40.1 logZ=1.02, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in WSM within 2 years (as of 2017)
WSMP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=14.5 logZ=0.05, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in VUT within 2 years (as of 2017)
VUTP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=15.2 logZ=0.10, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in VNM within 2 years (as of 2017)
VNMP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=14.9 logZ=0.08, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.53 (z=1.03). l...
Political instability onset in VGB within 2 years (as of 2017)
VGBP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=13.6 logZ=-0.01, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). l...
Political instability onset in VEN within 2 years (as of 2017)
VENP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=21.2 logZ=0.41, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in VCT within 2 years (as of 2017)
VCTP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=14.1 logZ=0.03, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in UZB within 2 years (as of 2017)
UZBP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=16.4 logZ=0.17, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.63 (z=1.12). l...
Political instability onset in USA within 2 years (as of 2017)
USAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=5.6 logZ=-0.85, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in URY within 2 years (as of 2017)
URYP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=6.8 logZ=-0.66, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.00 (z=0.51). l...
Political instability onset in UKR within 2 years (as of 2017)
UKRP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=8.7 logZ=-0.43, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in UGA within 2 years (as of 2017)
UGAP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=38.1 logZ=0.97, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in TZA within 2 years (as of 2017)
TZAP = 0.08
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=37.5 logZ=0.95, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1, gdeltTone=-0.52 (z=0.01). ...
Political instability onset in TUV within 2 years (as of 2017)
TUVP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=20.8 logZ=0.40, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in TUR within 2 years (as of 2017)
TURP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=10.1 logZ=-0.29, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-2.65 (z=-2.06)...
Political instability onset in TUN within 2 years (as of 2017)
TUNP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=15.5 logZ=0.12, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in TTO within 2 years (as of 2017)
TTOP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=19.9 logZ=0.35, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in TON within 2 years (as of 2017)
TONP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=9.2 logZ=-0.38, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in TLS within 2 years (as of 2017)
TLSP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=41.4 logZ=1.05, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in TKM within 2 years (as of 2017)
TKMP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=34.2 logZ=0.87, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=3.07 (z=3.49). l...
Political instability onset in TJK within 2 years (as of 2017)
TJKP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=25.5 logZ=0.59, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.47 (z=0.06). ...
Political instability onset in THA within 2 years (as of 2017)
THAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=9.5 logZ=-0.35, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in TGO within 2 years (as of 2017)
TGOP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=42.6 logZ=1.07, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.11 (z=0.40). ...
Political instability onset in TCD within 2 years (as of 2017)
TCDP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=68.3 logZ=1.52, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in TCA within 2 years (as of 2017)
TCAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.8 logZ=-1.21, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in SYR within 2 years (as of 2017)
SYRP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=24.2 logZ=0.54, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in SYC within 2 years (as of 2017)
SYCP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=13.4 logZ=-0.02, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in SWZ within 2 years (as of 2017)
SWZP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=51.1 logZ=1.25, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in SWE within 2 years (as of 2017)
SWEP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.3 logZ=-1.69, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.59 (z=1.09). l...
Political instability onset in SVN within 2 years (as of 2017)
SVNP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.0 logZ=-1.82, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.14 (z=0.65). l...
Political instability onset in SVK within 2 years (as of 2017)
SVKP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=5.0 logZ=-0.95, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in SUR within 2 years (as of 2017)
SURP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=18.0 logZ=0.26, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in STP within 2 years (as of 2017)
STPP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=12.9 logZ=-0.06, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in SSD within 2 years (as of 2017)
SSDP = 0.13
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=181.5 logZ=2.45, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=1, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in SRB within 2 years (as of 2017)
SRBP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=5.1 logZ=-0.94, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in SOM within 2 years (as of 2017)
SOMP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=96.5 logZ=1.85, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in SMR within 2 years (as of 2017)
SMRP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=1.6 logZ=-2.03, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in SLV within 2 years (as of 2017)
SLVP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=11.5 logZ=-0.17, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.02 (z=0.50)....
Political instability onset in SLE within 2 years (as of 2017)
SLEP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=68.7 logZ=1.53, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.81 (z=-0.28)....
Political instability onset in SLB within 2 years (as of 2017)
SLBP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=19.4 logZ=0.33, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in SGP within 2 years (as of 2017)
SGPP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.1 logZ=-1.78, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.92 (z=-0.38)....
Political instability onset in SEN within 2 years (as of 2017)
SENP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=36.3 logZ=0.92, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in SDN within 2 years (as of 2017)
SDNP = 0.15
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=45.9 logZ=1.15, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1, gdeltTone=-3.80 (z=-3.17)....
Political instability onset in SAU within 2 years (as of 2017)
SAUP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=6.4 logZ=-0.72, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.58 (z=-0.05)....
Political instability onset in RWA within 2 years (as of 2017)
RWAP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=32.7 logZ=0.82, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in RUS within 2 years (as of 2017)
RUSP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=5.5 logZ=-0.86, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.77 (z=-1.21)....
Political instability onset in ROU within 2 years (as of 2017)
ROUP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=6.6 logZ=-0.69, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.28 (z=0.78). l...
Political instability onset in QAT within 2 years (as of 2017)
QATP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=5.9 logZ=-0.80, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in PSE within 2 years (as of 2017)
PSEP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=14.6 logZ=0.06, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in PRY within 2 years (as of 2017)
PRYP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=18.1 logZ=0.26, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in PRT within 2 years (as of 2017)
PRTP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.9 logZ=-1.47, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.04 (z=0.55). l...
Political instability onset in PRK within 2 years (as of 2017)
PRKP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=15.4 logZ=0.11, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in POL within 2 years (as of 2017)
POLP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=4.0 logZ=-1.17, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in PNG within 2 years (as of 2017)
PNGP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=38.3 logZ=0.97, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.29 (z=0.23). ...
Political instability onset in PLW within 2 years (as of 2017)
PLWP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=19.4 logZ=0.33, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in PHL within 2 years (as of 2017)
PHLP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=22.3 logZ=0.46, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in PER within 2 years (as of 2017)
PERP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=13.1 logZ=-0.04, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in PAN within 2 years (as of 2017)
PANP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=13.3 logZ=-0.03, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.22 (z=-0.67)...
Political instability onset in PAK within 2 years (as of 2017)
PAKP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=59.8 logZ=1.40, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.84 (z=-1.27)....
Political instability onset in OMN within 2 years (as of 2017)
OMNP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=8.9 logZ=-0.41, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.31 (z=0.21). ...
Political instability onset in NZL within 2 years (as of 2017)
NZLP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=4.5 logZ=-1.05, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.68 (z=-0.15)....
Political instability onset in NRU within 2 years (as of 2017)
NRUP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=13.4 logZ=-0.02, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). l...
Political instability onset in NPL within 2 years (as of 2017)
NPLP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=29.6 logZ=0.73, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.23 (z=-0.68)....
Political instability onset in NOR within 2 years (as of 2017)
NORP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.1 logZ=-1.78, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.02 (z=-0.48)....
Political instability onset in NLD within 2 years (as of 2017)
NLDP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.5 logZ=-1.29, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.15 (z=0.36). ...
Political instability onset in NIC within 2 years (as of 2017)
NICP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=13.4 logZ=-0.02, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in NGA within 2 years (as of 2017)
NGAP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=68.3 logZ=1.52, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.16 (z=-0.61)....
Political instability onset in NER within 2 years (as of 2017)
NERP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=69.3 logZ=1.54, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=1, gdeltTone=0.01 (z=0.52). l...
Political instability onset in NAM within 2 years (as of 2017)
NAMP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=44.3 logZ=1.11, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in MYS within 2 years (as of 2017)
MYSP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=6.7 logZ=-0.68, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.61 (z=-1.05)....
Political instability onset in MWI within 2 years (as of 2017)
MWIP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=38.5 logZ=0.98, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.24 (z=-0.69)....
Political instability onset in MUS within 2 years (as of 2017)
MUSP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=13.3 logZ=-0.03, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in MRT within 2 years (as of 2017)
MRTP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=36.7 logZ=0.93, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in MOZ within 2 years (as of 2017)
MOZP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=51.4 logZ=1.25, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.42 (z=0.92). l...
Political instability onset in MNG within 2 years (as of 2017)
MNGP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=14.2 logZ=0.03, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.28 (z=0.79). l...
Political instability onset in MNE within 2 years (as of 2017)
MNEP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.0 logZ=-1.44, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=1.12 (z=1.59). l...
Political instability onset in MMR within 2 years (as of 2017)
MMRP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=41.1 logZ=1.04, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.46 (z=-0.90)....
Political instability onset in MLT within 2 years (as of 2017)
MLTP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=5.6 logZ=-0.85, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in MLI within 2 years (as of 2017)
MLIP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=61.9 logZ=1.43, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.04 (z=0.47). ...
Political instability onset in MKD within 2 years (as of 2017)
MKDP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=8.5 logZ=-0.45, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in MHL within 2 years (as of 2017)
MHLP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=27.8 logZ=0.67, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in MEX within 2 years (as of 2017)
MEXP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=14.4 logZ=0.05, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.60 (z=-0.07)....
Political instability onset in MDV within 2 years (as of 2017)
MDVP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=7.4 logZ=-0.58, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in MDG within 2 years (as of 2017)
MDGP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=43.7 logZ=1.10, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.01 (z=0.51). ...
Political instability onset in MDA within 2 years (as of 2017)
MDAP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=14.0 logZ=0.02, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=1.07 (z=1.55). l...
Political instability onset in MCO within 2 years (as of 2017)
MCOP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.7 logZ=-1.54, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in MAR within 2 years (as of 2017)
MARP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=19.3 logZ=0.32, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.64 (z=-0.11)....
Political instability onset in LVA within 2 years (as of 2017)
LVAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.8 logZ=-1.21, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in LUX within 2 years (as of 2017)
LUXP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.1 logZ=-1.78, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in LTU within 2 years (as of 2017)
LTUP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.7 logZ=-1.24, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.66 (z=1.15). l...
Political instability onset in LSO within 2 years (as of 2017)
LSOP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=68.0 logZ=1.52, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.00 (z=0.51). ...
Political instability onset in LKA within 2 years (as of 2017)
LKAP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=6.7 logZ=-0.68, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in LCA within 2 years (as of 2017)
LCAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=16.8 logZ=0.19, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in LBY within 2 years (as of 2017)
LBYP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=9.8 logZ=-0.32, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=1, gdeltTone=1.31 (z=1.78). l...
Political instability onset in LBR within 2 years (as of 2017)
LBRP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=63.7 logZ=1.46, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.01 (z=0.52). l...
Political instability onset in LBN within 2 years (as of 2017)
LBNP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=11.8 logZ=-0.14, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.18 (z=-0.63)...
Political instability onset in LAO within 2 years (as of 2017)
LAOP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=36.4 logZ=0.93, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in KWT within 2 years (as of 2017)
KWTP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=7.7 logZ=-0.55, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-2.21 (z=-1.63)....
Political instability onset in KOR within 2 years (as of 2017)
KORP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.7 logZ=-1.54, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.40 (z=0.13). ...
Political instability onset in KNA within 2 years (as of 2017)
KNAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=16.5 logZ=0.18, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in KIR within 2 years (as of 2017)
KIRP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=43.2 logZ=1.09, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in KHM within 2 years (as of 2017)
KHMP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=22.5 logZ=0.47, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.44 (z=-0.89)....
Political instability onset in KGZ within 2 years (as of 2017)
KGZP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=17.4 logZ=0.23, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.52 (z=0.01). ...
Political instability onset in KEN within 2 years (as of 2017)
KENP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=38.2 logZ=0.97, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in KAZ within 2 years (as of 2017)
KAZP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=8.4 logZ=-0.46, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=1.07 (z=1.55). l...
Political instability onset in JPN within 2 years (as of 2017)
JPNP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=1.9 logZ=-1.87, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in JOR within 2 years (as of 2017)
JORP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=14.3 logZ=0.04, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.71 (z=-0.18)....
Political instability onset in JAM within 2 years (as of 2017)
JAMP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=17.2 logZ=0.22, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.74 (z=-0.20)....
Political instability onset in ITA within 2 years (as of 2017)
ITAP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.8 logZ=-1.50, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.99 (z=-0.44)....
Political instability onset in ISR within 2 years (as of 2017)
ISRP = 0.17
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.0 logZ=-1.44, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=1, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in ISL within 2 years (as of 2017)
ISLP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.0 logZ=-1.82, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in IRQ within 2 years (as of 2017)
IRQP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=25.1 logZ=0.57, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-2.89 (z=-2.29)....
Political instability onset in IRN within 2 years (as of 2017)
IRNP = 0.15
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=13.0 logZ=-0.05, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1, gdeltTone=-3.13 (z=-2.52)...
Political instability onset in IRL within 2 years (as of 2017)
IRLP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.0 logZ=-1.44, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.72 (z=-0.18)....
Political instability onset in IND within 2 years (as of 2017)
INDP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=32.9 logZ=0.83, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.22 (z=-0.68)....
Political instability onset in IDN within 2 years (as of 2017)
IDNP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=20.1 logZ=0.36, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.55 (z=-0.02)....
Political instability onset in HUN within 2 years (as of 2017)
HUNP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.7 logZ=-1.24, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=1.43 (z=1.90). l...
Political instability onset in HTI within 2 years (as of 2017)
HTIP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=47.2 logZ=1.17, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.62 (z=-0.09)....
Political instability onset in HRV within 2 years (as of 2017)
HRVP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=4.1 logZ=-1.14, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.53 (z=1.02). l...
Political instability onset in HND within 2 years (as of 2017)
HNDP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=15.9 logZ=0.14, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.03 (z=0.48). ...
Political instability onset in GUY within 2 years (as of 2017)
GUYP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=28.8 logZ=0.70, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in GTM within 2 years (as of 2017)
GTMP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=21.6 logZ=0.43, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.46 (z=0.96). l...
Political instability onset in GRD within 2 years (as of 2017)
GRDP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=16.3 logZ=0.16, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in GRC within 2 years (as of 2017)
GRCP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.6 logZ=-1.27, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.04 (z=-0.50)....
Political instability onset in GNQ within 2 years (as of 2017)
GNQP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=59.1 logZ=1.38, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in GNB within 2 years (as of 2017)
GNBP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=51.7 logZ=1.26, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in GMB within 2 years (as of 2017)
GMBP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=40.7 logZ=1.03, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.73 (z=-0.20)....
Political instability onset in GIN within 2 years (as of 2017)
GINP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=69.0 logZ=1.53, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in GHA within 2 years (as of 2017)
GHAP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=35.4 logZ=0.90, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.63 (z=-0.10)....
Political instability onset in GEO within 2 years (as of 2017)
GEOP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=8.5 logZ=-0.45, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.08 (z=0.44). ...
Political instability onset in GBR within 2 years (as of 2017)
GBRP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.8 logZ=-1.21, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.85 (z=-0.31)....
Political instability onset in GAB within 2 years (as of 2017)
GABP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=32.0 logZ=0.80, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.23 (z=0.29). ...
Political instability onset in FSM within 2 years (as of 2017)
FSMP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=25.2 logZ=0.58, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in FRA within 2 years (as of 2017)
FRAP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.3 logZ=-1.35, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in FJI within 2 years (as of 2017)
FJIP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=17.7 logZ=0.24, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in FIN within 2 years (as of 2017)
FINP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=1.9 logZ=-1.87, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.47 (z=0.05). ...
Political instability onset in ETH within 2 years (as of 2017)
ETHP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=44.0 logZ=1.11, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1, gdeltTone=-0.13 (z=0.39). ...
Political instability onset in EST within 2 years (as of 2017)
ESTP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.2 logZ=-1.73, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.22 (z=0.30). ...
Political instability onset in ESP within 2 years (as of 2017)
ESPP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.7 logZ=-1.54, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.31 (z=0.81). l...
Political instability onset in ERI within 2 years (as of 2017)
ERIP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=30.5 logZ=0.76, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.79 (z=-0.25)....
Political instability onset in EGY within 2 years (as of 2017)
EGYP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=23.4 logZ=0.51, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.65 (z=-1.09)....
Political instability onset in ECU within 2 years (as of 2017)
ECUP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=12.2 logZ=-0.11, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.78 (z=-0.25)...
Political instability onset in DZA within 2 years (as of 2017)
DZAP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=21.3 logZ=0.42, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.25 (z=-0.70)....
Political instability onset in DOM within 2 years (as of 2017)
DOMP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=31.2 logZ=0.78, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in DNK within 2 years (as of 2017)
DNKP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.4 logZ=-1.32, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.63 (z=-0.10)....
Political instability onset in DMA within 2 years (as of 2017)
DMAP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=28.7 logZ=0.70, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in DJI within 2 years (as of 2017)
DJIP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=53.3 logZ=1.29, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.98 (z=1.46). l...
Political instability onset in DEU within 2 years (as of 2017)
DEUP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.2 logZ=-1.38, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.33 (z=0.20). ...
Political instability onset in CZE within 2 years (as of 2017)
CZEP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.6 logZ=-1.57, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.60 (z=-0.07)....
Political instability onset in CYP within 2 years (as of 2017)
CYPP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.2 logZ=-1.73, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.42 (z=0.11). ...
Political instability onset in CUB within 2 years (as of 2017)
CUBP = 0.08
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=5.1 logZ=-0.94, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-2.38 (z=-1.79)....
Political instability onset in CRI within 2 years (as of 2017)
CRIP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=7.7 logZ=-0.55, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.15 (z=0.36). ...
Political instability onset in CPV within 2 years (as of 2017)
CPVP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=15.1 logZ=0.09, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in COM within 2 years (as of 2017)
COMP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=41.3 logZ=1.05, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in COL within 2 years (as of 2017)
COLP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=13.1 logZ=-0.04, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.44 (z=0.08)....
Political instability onset in COG within 2 years (as of 2017)
COGP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=33.2 logZ=0.84, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in COD within 2 years (as of 2017)
CODP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=55.4 logZ=1.32, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in CMR within 2 years (as of 2017)
CMRP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=49.6 logZ=1.22, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in CIV within 2 years (as of 2017)
CIVP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=55.2 logZ=1.32, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=1.37 (z=1.84). l...
Political instability onset in CHN within 2 years (as of 2017)
CHNP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=7.0 logZ=-0.64, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in CHL within 2 years (as of 2017)
CHLP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=6.5 logZ=-0.71, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in CHE within 2 years (as of 2017)
CHEP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.6 logZ=-1.27, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.24 (z=-0.69)....
Political instability onset in CAN within 2 years (as of 2017)
CANP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=4.5 logZ=-1.05, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.19 (z=-0.64)....
Political instability onset in CAF within 2 years (as of 2017)
CAFP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=88.4 logZ=1.77, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in BWA within 2 years (as of 2017)
BWAP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=40.0 logZ=1.01, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.53 (z=-0.01)....
Political instability onset in BTN within 2 years (as of 2017)
BTNP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=20.3 logZ=0.37, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in BRN within 2 years (as of 2017)
BRNP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=9.1 logZ=-0.39, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in BRB within 2 years (as of 2017)
BRBP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=11.2 logZ=-0.19, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in BRA within 2 years (as of 2017)
BRAP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=13.3 logZ=-0.03, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in BOL within 2 years (as of 2017)
BOLP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=20.8 logZ=0.40, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in BLZ within 2 years (as of 2017)
BLZP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=12.1 logZ=-0.12, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). l...
Political instability onset in BLR within 2 years (as of 2017)
BLRP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=2.8 logZ=-1.50, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.56 (z=1.05). l...
Political instability onset in BIH within 2 years (as of 2017)
BIHP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=6.0 logZ=-0.78, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.41 (z=0.12). ...
Political instability onset in BHS within 2 years (as of 2017)
BHSP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=12.1 logZ=-0.12, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). l...
Political instability onset in BHR within 2 years (as of 2017)
BHRP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=6.3 logZ=-0.74, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in BGR within 2 years (as of 2017)
BGRP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=6.1 logZ=-0.77, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.55 (z=-0.99)....
Political instability onset in BGD within 2 years (as of 2017)
BGDP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=27.3 logZ=0.65, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.81 (z=-1.24)....
Political instability onset in BFA within 2 years (as of 2017)
BFAP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=53.1 logZ=1.28, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.10 (z=0.61). l...
Political instability onset in BEN within 2 years (as of 2017)
BENP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=54.4 logZ=1.31, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=0.09 (z=0.60). l...
Political instability onset in BEL within 2 years (as of 2017)
BELP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.3 logZ=-1.35, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.36 (z=-0.81)....
Political instability onset in BDI within 2 years (as of 2017)
BDIP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=38.4 logZ=0.98, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-1.95 (z=-1.38)....
Political instability onset in AZE within 2 years (as of 2017)
AZEP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=18.6 logZ=0.29, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.61 (z=-0.08)....
Political instability onset in AUT within 2 years (as of 2017)
AUTP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.0 logZ=-1.44, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=1.26 (z=1.74). l...
Political instability onset in AUS within 2 years (as of 2017)
AUSP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.2 logZ=-1.38, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.66 (z=-0.13)....
Political instability onset in ATG within 2 years (as of 2017)
ATGP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=8.3 logZ=-0.47, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in ARM within 2 years (as of 2017)
ARMP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=11.7 logZ=-0.15, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.70 (z=-0.17)...
Political instability onset in ARG within 2 years (as of 2017)
ARGP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=9.4 logZ=-0.36, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-0.77 (z=-0.23)....
Political instability onset in ARE within 2 years (as of 2017)
AREP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=5.6 logZ=-0.85, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in AND within 2 years (as of 2017)
ANDP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=3.1 logZ=-1.41, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). lo...
Political instability onset in ALB within 2 years (as of 2017)
ALBP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=7.7 logZ=-0.55, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=-2.27 (z=-1.69)....
Political instability onset in AGO within 2 years (as of 2017)
AGOP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=36.7 logZ=0.93, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in AFG within 2 years (as of 2017)
AFGP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 6d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-v2-gdelt (pitf-v2-gdelt-20260416): IMR=60.1 logZ=1.40, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0, gdeltTone=NA (z=0.00). log...
Political instability onset in ZWE within 2 years (as of 2024)
ZWEP = 0.69
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=62.4 log-z=1.62, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in ZMB within 2 years (as of 2024)
ZMBP = 0.76
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=34.6 log-z=1.05, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=1 (4/8 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in ZAF within 2 years (as of 2024)
ZAFP = 0.48
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=24.2 log-z=0.70, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (2/6 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in YEM within 2 years (as of 2024)
YEMP = 0.13
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=33.8 log-z=1.03, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (0/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in WSM within 2 years (as of 2024)
WSMP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=12.3 log-z=0.05, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in VUT within 2 years (as of 2024)
VUTP = 0.35
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=14.4 log-z=0.20, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in VNM within 2 years (as of 2024)
VNMP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=12.0 log-z=0.03, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (0/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in VGB within 2 years (as of 2024)
VGBP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=11.4 log-z=-0.02, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit ...
Political instability onset in VEN within 2 years (as of 2024)
VENP = 0.44
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=21.2 log-z=0.58, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (2/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in VCT within 2 years (as of 2024)
VCTP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=10.2 log-z=-0.13, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit ...
Political instability onset in UZB within 2 years (as of 2024)
UZBP = 0.33
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=12.8 log-z=0.09, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in USA within 2 years (as of 2024)
USAP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=5.5 log-z=-0.73, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in URY within 2 years (as of 2024)
URYP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=6.2 log-z=-0.61, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in UKR within 2 years (as of 2024)
UKRP = 0.23
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.6 log-z=-0.41, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/7 neighbors unstable, wgi_fallback). ...
Political instability onset in UGA within 2 years (as of 2024)
UGAP = 0.57
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=35.9 log-z=1.08, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/5 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in TZA within 2 years (as of 2024)
TZAP = 0.72
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=28.7 log-z=0.87, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1 (5/8 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in TUV within 2 years (as of 2024)
TUVP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=16.5 log-z=0.33, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in TUR within 2 years (as of 2024)
TURP = 0.43
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=8.0 log-z=-0.37, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1 (4/8 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in TUN within 2 years (as of 2024)
TUNP = 0.27
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=9.7 log-z=-0.18, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (0/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in TTO within 2 years (as of 2024)
TTOP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=17.0 log-z=0.36, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in TON within 2 years (as of 2024)
TONP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.8 log-z=-0.39, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in TLS within 2 years (as of 2024)
TLSP = 0.56
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=34.6 log-z=1.05, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/1 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in TKM within 2 years (as of 2024)
TKMP = 0.53
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=30.4 log-z=0.92, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (2/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in TJK within 2 years (as of 2024)
TJKP = 0.47
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=23.5 log-z=0.67, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in THA within 2 years (as of 2024)
THAP = 0.23
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.7 log-z=-0.40, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, wgi_fallback). ...
Political instability onset in TGO within 2 years (as of 2024)
TGOP = 0.56
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=34.8 log-z=1.05, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (2/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in TCD within 2 years (as of 2024)
TCDP = 0.83
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=56.3 log-z=1.52, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1 (5/6 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in TCA within 2 years (as of 2024)
TCAP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.0 log-z=-1.31, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in SYR within 2 years (as of 2024)
SYRP = 0.16
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=17.7 log-z=0.40, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=1 (4/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SYC within 2 years (as of 2024)
SYCP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=12.9 log-z=0.10, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SWZ within 2 years (as of 2024)
SWZP = 0.15
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=42.2 log-z=1.24, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SWE within 2 years (as of 2024)
SWEP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.0 log-z=-1.70, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/2 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SVN within 2 years (as of 2024)
SVNP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=1.8 log-z=-1.80, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/4 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SVK within 2 years (as of 2024)
SVKP = 0.17
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=5.3 log-z=-0.76, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SUR within 2 years (as of 2024)
SURP = 0.36
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=14.8 log-z=0.23, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in STP within 2 years (as of 2024)
STPP = 0.26
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=9.2 log-z=-0.23, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SSD within 2 years (as of 2024)
SSDP = 0.42
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=71.9 log-z=1.75, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=1 (6/6 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in SRB within 2 years (as of 2024)
SRBP = 0.15
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.6 log-z=-0.90, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (0/8 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SOM within 2 years (as of 2024)
SOMP = 0.22
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=65.4 log-z=1.66, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (2/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SMR within 2 years (as of 2024)
SMRP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=1.2 log-z=-2.20, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in SLV within 2 years (as of 2024)
SLVP = 0.25
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=8.8 log-z=-0.27, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (2/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SLE within 2 years (as of 2024)
SLEP = 0.67
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=54.6 log-z=1.49, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in SLB within 2 years (as of 2024)
SLBP = 0.38
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=16.4 log-z=0.33, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SGP within 2 years (as of 2024)
SGPP = 0.08
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.2 log-z=-1.61, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in SEN within 2 years (as of 2024)
SENP = 0.52
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=28.9 log-z=0.87, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (2/5 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in SDN within 2 years (as of 2024)
SDNP = 0.31
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=42.9 log-z=1.26, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=1 (5/7 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in SAU within 2 years (as of 2024)
SAUP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.7 log-z=-0.88, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (2/7 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in RWA within 2 years (as of 2024)
RWAP = 0.52
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=29.4 log-z=0.89, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/4 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in RUS within 2 years (as of 2024)
RUSP = 0.14
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.1 log-z=-1.01, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (2/14 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit =...
Political instability onset in ROU within 2 years (as of 2024)
ROUP = 0.19
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=6.0 log-z=-0.64, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in QAT within 2 years (as of 2024)
QATP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.8 log-z=-0.86, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in PSE within 2 years (as of 2024)
PSEP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=17.0 log-z=0.36, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit =...
Political instability onset in PRY within 2 years (as of 2024)
PRYP = 0.35
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=14.5 log-z=0.21, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in PRT within 2 years (as of 2024)
PRTP = 0.10
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.7 log-z=-1.41, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in PRK within 2 years (as of 2024)
PRKP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=13.3 log-z=0.13, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in POL within 2 years (as of 2024)
POLP = 0.12
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.6 log-z=-1.14, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (2/7 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in PNG within 2 years (as of 2024)
PNGP = 0.54
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=31.3 log-z=0.95, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/1 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in PLW within 2 years (as of 2024)
PLWP = 0.08
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=18.6 log-z=0.45, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in PHL within 2 years (as of 2024)
PHLP = 0.45
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=21.7 log-z=0.60, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in PER within 2 years (as of 2024)
PERP = 0.30
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=11.0 log-z=-0.06, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (3/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit =...
Political instability onset in PAN within 2 years (as of 2024)
PANP = 0.31
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=12.0 log-z=0.03, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in PAK within 2 years (as of 2024)
PAKP = 0.64
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=48.2 log-z=1.37, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in OMN within 2 years (as of 2024)
OMNP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=8.3 log-z=-0.33, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in NZL within 2 years (as of 2024)
NZLP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.0 log-z=-1.03, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in NRU within 2 years (as of 2024)
NRUP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.7 log-z=-0.40, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in NPL within 2 years (as of 2024)
NPLP = 0.45
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=22.2 log-z=0.62, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in NOR within 2 years (as of 2024)
NORP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.0 log-z=-1.70, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, wgi_fallback). ...
Political instability onset in NLD within 2 years (as of 2024)
NLDP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.4 log-z=-1.19, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in NIC within 2 years (as of 2024)
NICP = 0.26
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=9.4 log-z=-0.21, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in NGA within 2 years (as of 2024)
NGAP = 0.86
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=69.8 log-z=1.72, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1 (4/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in NER within 2 years (as of 2024)
NERP = 0.40
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=65.6 log-z=1.67, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=1 (5/7 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in NAM within 2 years (as of 2024)
NAMP = 0.57
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=36.4 log-z=1.10, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MYS within 2 years (as of 2024)
MYSP = 0.21
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.0 log-z=-0.49, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (2/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MWI within 2 years (as of 2024)
MWIP = 0.58
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=38.0 log-z=1.14, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MUS within 2 years (as of 2024)
MUSP = 0.34
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=13.8 log-z=0.16, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MRT within 2 years (as of 2024)
MRTP = 0.53
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=30.2 log-z=0.92, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MOZ within 2 years (as of 2024)
MOZP = 0.62
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=43.7 log-z=1.27, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/6 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in MNG within 2 years (as of 2024)
MNGP = 0.30
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=11.2 log-z=-0.04, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit ...
Political instability onset in MNE within 2 years (as of 2024)
MNEP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=1.9 log-z=-1.75, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/5 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MMR within 2 years (as of 2024)
MMRP = 0.12
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=32.8 log-z=1.00, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (3/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MLT within 2 years (as of 2024)
MLTP = 0.15
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.7 log-z=-0.88, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MLI within 2 years (as of 2024)
MLIP = 0.33
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=47.5 log-z=1.35, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=1 (4/7 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in MKD within 2 years (as of 2024)
MKDP = 0.09
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.5 log-z=-1.49, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/5 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MHL within 2 years (as of 2024)
MHLP = 0.09
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=22.7 log-z=0.64, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in MEX within 2 years (as of 2024)
MEXP = 0.32
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=12.1 log-z=0.03, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MDV within 2 years (as of 2024)
MDVP = 0.15
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.7 log-z=-0.88, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MDG within 2 years (as of 2024)
MDGP = 0.61
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=43.0 log-z=1.26, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MDA within 2 years (as of 2024)
MDAP = 0.36
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=15.1 log-z=0.25, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in MCO within 2 years (as of 2024)
MCOP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.2 log-z=-1.61, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (1/1 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit =...
Political instability onset in MAR within 2 years (as of 2024)
MARP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=14.7 log-z=0.22, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (0/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in LVA within 2 years (as of 2024)
LVAP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.2 log-z=-1.61, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, wgi_fallback). ...
Political instability onset in LUX within 2 years (as of 2024)
LUXP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=1.9 log-z=-1.75, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in LTU within 2 years (as of 2024)
LTUP = 0.10
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.8 log-z=-1.38, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, wgi_fallback). ...
Political instability onset in LSO within 2 years (as of 2024)
LSOP = 0.67
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=56.3 log-z=1.52, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in LKA within 2 years (as of 2024)
LKAP = 0.17
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=5.2 log-z=-0.78, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in LCA within 2 years (as of 2024)
LCAP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=15.8 log-z=0.29, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in LBY within 2 years (as of 2024)
LBYP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.9 log-z=-0.38, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (3/6 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in LBR within 2 years (as of 2024)
LBRP = 0.70
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=63.2 log-z=1.63, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (2/3 neighbors unstable, wgi_fallback). ...
Political instability onset in LBN within 2 years (as of 2024)
LBNP = 0.37
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=15.3 log-z=0.26, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (2/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in LAO within 2 years (as of 2024)
LAOP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=27.2 log-z=0.82, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (2/5 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in KWT within 2 years (as of 2024)
KWTP = 0.21
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.0 log-z=-0.49, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in KOR within 2 years (as of 2024)
KORP = 0.08
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.3 log-z=-1.57, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in KNA within 2 years (as of 2024)
KNAP = 0.06
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=13.9 log-z=0.17, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in KIR within 2 years (as of 2024)
KIRP = 0.14
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=38.8 log-z=1.16, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in KHM within 2 years (as of 2024)
KHMP = 0.38
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=16.4 log-z=0.33, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in KGZ within 2 years (as of 2024)
KGZP = 0.36
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=14.8 log-z=0.23, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (0/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in KEN within 2 years (as of 2024)
KENP = 0.75
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=34.2 log-z=1.04, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=1 (4/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in KAZ within 2 years (as of 2024)
KAZP = 0.22
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.4 log-z=-0.44, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/5 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in JPN within 2 years (as of 2024)
JPNP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=1.8 log-z=-1.80, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in JOR within 2 years (as of 2024)
JORP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=12.0 log-z=0.03, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=1 (4/5 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in JAM within 2 years (as of 2024)
JAMP = 0.38
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=16.4 log-z=0.33, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in ITA within 2 years (as of 2024)
ITAP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.3 log-z=-1.57, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/6 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in ISR within 2 years (as of 2024)
ISRP = 0.10
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.7 log-z=-1.41, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (3/5 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in ISL within 2 years (as of 2024)
ISLP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.1 log-z=-1.66, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in IRQ within 2 years (as of 2024)
IRQP = 0.43
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=20.1 log-z=0.52, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/6 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in IRN within 2 years (as of 2024)
IRNP = 0.49
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=10.3 log-z=-0.12, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1 (5/7 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit =...
Political instability onset in IRL within 2 years (as of 2024)
IRLP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.4 log-z=-1.19, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in IND within 2 years (as of 2024)
INDP = 0.47
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=23.3 log-z=0.67, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/6 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in IDN within 2 years (as of 2024)
IDNP = 0.37
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=15.2 log-z=0.25, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in HUN within 2 years (as of 2024)
HUNP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.1 log-z=-1.28, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/7 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in HTI within 2 years (as of 2024)
HTIP = 0.14
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=39.0 log-z=1.16, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in HRV within 2 years (as of 2024)
HRVP = 0.14
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.1 log-z=-1.01, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/5 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in HND within 2 years (as of 2024)
HNDP = 0.33
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=12.8 log-z=0.09, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in GUY within 2 years (as of 2024)
GUYP = 0.46
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=23.2 log-z=0.66, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (2/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in GTM within 2 years (as of 2024)
GTMP = 0.39
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=17.2 log-z=0.37, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (2/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in GRD within 2 years (as of 2024)
GRDP = 0.07
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=16.4 log-z=0.33, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in GRC within 2 years (as of 2024)
GRCP = 0.11
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.2 log-z=-1.25, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in GNQ within 2 years (as of 2024)
GNQP = 0.64
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=47.6 log-z=1.36, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in GNB within 2 years (as of 2024)
GNBP = 0.61
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=42.1 log-z=1.24, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, wgi_fallback). ...
Political instability onset in GMB within 2 years (as of 2024)
GMBP = 0.55
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=32.7 log-z=0.99, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in GIN within 2 years (as of 2024)
GINP = 0.20
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=59.8 log-z=1.58, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (2/6 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in GHA within 2 years (as of 2024)
GHAP = 0.51
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=27.5 log-z=0.83, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (3/3 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in GEO within 2 years (as of 2024)
GEOP = 0.22
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.5 log-z=-0.43, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/4 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in GBR within 2 years (as of 2024)
GBRP = 0.14
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.1 log-z=-1.01, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in GAB within 2 years (as of 2024)
GABP = 0.10
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=25.9 log-z=0.77, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in FSM within 2 years (as of 2024)
FSMP = 0.08
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=20.3 log-z=0.53, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in FRA within 2 years (as of 2024)
FRAP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.4 log-z=-1.19, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/8 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in FJI within 2 years (as of 2024)
FJIP = 0.47
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=23.5 log-z=0.67, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in FIN within 2 years (as of 2024)
FINP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=1.9 log-z=-1.75, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, wgi_fallback). ...
Political instability onset in ETH within 2 years (as of 2024)
ETHP = 0.76
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=34.5 log-z=1.05, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1 (5/6 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in EST within 2 years (as of 2024)
ESTP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=1.5 log-z=-1.98, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, wgi_fallback). ...
Political instability onset in ESP within 2 years (as of 2024)
ESPP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.6 log-z=-1.45, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in ERI within 2 years (as of 2024)
ERIP = 0.10
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=24.7 log-z=0.72, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (2/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in EGY within 2 years (as of 2024)
EGYP = 0.44
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=20.8 log-z=0.56, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/4 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in ECU within 2 years (as of 2024)
ECUP = 0.29
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=10.9 log-z=-0.07, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit =...
Political instability onset in DZA within 2 years (as of 2024)
DZAP = 0.42
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=19.5 log-z=0.49, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (2/7 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in DOM within 2 years (as of 2024)
DOMP = 0.51
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=27.7 log-z=0.83, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/1 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in DNK within 2 years (as of 2024)
DNKP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.5 log-z=-1.16, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in DMA within 2 years (as of 2024)
DMAP = 0.13
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=33.3 log-z=1.01, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in DJI within 2 years (as of 2024)
DJIP = 0.61
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=43.0 log-z=1.26, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/3 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in DEU within 2 years (as of 2024)
DEUP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.1 log-z=-1.28, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/9 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in CZE within 2 years (as of 2024)
CZEP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.1 log-z=-1.66, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in CYP within 2 years (as of 2024)
CYPP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.1 log-z=-1.01, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in CUB within 2 years (as of 2024)
CUBP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=6.8 log-z=-0.52, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in CRI within 2 years (as of 2024)
CRIP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=9.1 log-z=-0.24, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/2 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in CPV within 2 years (as of 2024)
CPVP = 0.29
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=10.6 log-z=-0.09, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in COM within 2 years (as of 2024)
COMP = 0.56
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=35.0 log-z=1.06, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in COL within 2 years (as of 2024)
COLP = 0.29
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=10.5 log-z=-0.10, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (3/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit =...
Political instability onset in COG within 2 years (as of 2024)
COGP = 0.71
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=27.0 log-z=0.81, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1 (4/5 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in COD within 2 years (as of 2024)
CODP = 0.83
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=56.4 log-z=1.52, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1 (5/9 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in CMR within 2 years (as of 2024)
CMRP = 0.60
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=40.2 log-z=1.19, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/6 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in CIV within 2 years (as of 2024)
CIVP = 0.62
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=44.8 log-z=1.30, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/5 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in CHN within 2 years (as of 2024)
CHNP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.1 log-z=-1.01, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=1 (5/16 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit ...
Political instability onset in CHL within 2 years (as of 2024)
CHLP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=5.8 log-z=-0.68, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/3 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in CHE within 2 years (as of 2024)
CHEP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.4 log-z=-1.19, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in CAN within 2 years (as of 2024)
CANP = 0.15
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.7 log-z=-0.88, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in CAF within 2 years (as of 2024)
CAFP = 0.84
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=58.8 log-z=1.56, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1 (5/6 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in BWA within 2 years (as of 2024)
BWAP = 0.54
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=32.1 log-z=0.98, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in BTN within 2 years (as of 2024)
BTNP = 0.34
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=13.7 log-z=0.15, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in BRN within 2 years (as of 2024)
BRNP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=8.6 log-z=-0.30, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/1 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in BRB within 2 years (as of 2024)
BRBP = 0.04
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=9.1 log-z=-0.24, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in BRA within 2 years (as of 2024)
BRAP = 0.32
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=12.3 log-z=0.05, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (2/10 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit =...
Political instability onset in BOL within 2 years (as of 2024)
BOLP = 0.35
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=14.2 log-z=0.19, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in BLZ within 2 years (as of 2024)
BLZP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=10.8 log-z=-0.08, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (2/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit ...
Political instability onset in BLR within 2 years (as of 2024)
BLRP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=1.8 log-z=-1.80, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (2/5 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in BIH within 2 years (as of 2024)
BIHP = 0.18
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=5.5 log-z=-0.73, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/3 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in BHS within 2 years (as of 2024)
BHSP = 0.05
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=11.1 log-z=-0.05, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit ...
Political instability onset in BHR within 2 years (as of 2024)
BHRP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.3 log-z=-0.45, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in BGR within 2 years (as of 2024)
BGRP = 0.15
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=4.6 log-z=-0.90, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in BGD within 2 years (as of 2024)
BGDP = 0.48
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=24.4 log-z=0.71, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (2/2 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in BFA within 2 years (as of 2024)
BFAP = 0.31
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=43.6 log-z=1.27, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=1 (5/6 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in BEN within 2 years (as of 2024)
BENP = 0.80
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=45.2 log-z=1.31, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=1 (4/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in BEL within 2 years (as of 2024)
BELP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.1 log-z=-1.28, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in BDI within 2 years (as of 2024)
BDIP = 0.53
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=30.5 log-z=0.93, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/3 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in AZE within 2 years (as of 2024)
AZEP = 0.32
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=12.5 log-z=0.07, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (3/5 neighbors unstable, mixed). logit =...
Political instability onset in AUT within 2 years (as of 2024)
AUTP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.8 log-z=-1.38, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/8 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in AUS within 2 years (as of 2024)
AUSP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.1 log-z=-1.28, anocracy=0 (regime=3), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in ATG within 2 years (as of 2024)
ATGP = 0.03
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=7.0 log-z=-0.49, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (0/0 neighbors unstable, none). logit =...
Political instability onset in ARM within 2 years (as of 2024)
ARMP = 0.25
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=8.5 log-z=-0.31, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (3/4 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in ARG within 2 years (as of 2024)
ARGP = 0.24
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=8.0 log-z=-0.37, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (1/5 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in ARE within 2 years (as of 2024)
AREP = 0.02
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=3.8 log-z=-1.08, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (0/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...
Political instability onset in AND within 2 years (as of 2024)
ANDP = 0.01
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=2.4 log-z=-1.53, anocracy=0 (regime=NA), badNbhd=0 (1/2 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit =...
Political instability onset in ALB within 2 years (as of 2024)
ALBP = 0.24
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=8.3 log-z=-0.33, anocracy=1 (regime=2), badNbhd=0 (0/4 neighbors unstable, none). logit = ...
Political instability onset in AGO within 2 years (as of 2024)
AGOP = 0.54
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=32.1 log-z=0.98, anocracy=1 (regime=1), badNbhd=0 (1/4 neighbors unstable, wgi_fallback). ...
Political instability onset in AFG within 2 years (as of 2024)
AFGP = 0.17
Horizon: 730 daysUpdated: 2d agoconflict
Drivers: PITF-3var (pitf-v1-3var): IMR=48.3 log-z=1.37, anocracy=0 (regime=0), badNbhd=0 (2/6 neighbors unstable, ucdp). logit = ...