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Planetary Outlook

Environmental Forecast

Global environmental trends aggregated from World Bank indicators across 200+ countries. Tracking deforestation, energy transition, water stress, urbanization, and population trajectories that shape the planet's future.

Renewable Energy (global avg)
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Forest Cover (global avg)
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Global Urbanization
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Deforestation Hotspots

Countries with the largest forest cover loss (% of land area) over the past decade.

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Water Stress

Countries withdrawing the highest share of their freshwater resources — at risk of depletion.

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Population Trajectories — Major Economies

Population trends for the 12 largest environmental impact nations. Demographic shifts drive resource demand, urbanization pressure, and emission trajectories.

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Planetary Outlook — Key Pressures

Urbanization Accelerationelevated

Over 56% of the world population lives in cities — projected to reach 68% by 2050. Mega-cities in Asia and Africa drive infrastructure strain, heat island effects, and water demand.

Deforestation & Biodiversityhigh

Tropical forests continue to shrink, driven by agriculture expansion in Brazil, Indonesia, and Congo Basin. Each year of forest loss is irreversible for endemic species.

Freshwater Depletionhigh

Middle Eastern and North African nations withdraw more water than nature replenishes. Pakistan, India, and Central Asia face growing agricultural water stress.

Energy Transitionmoderate

Renewable energy share is growing but unevenly. Developing nations remain fossil-dependent while advanced economies accelerate solar and wind deployment.

Country Environmental Risk Index

Per-country environmental risk score based on emissions, deforestation, water stress, and urbanization pressure. Data year: 2025.

#CountryScoreLevelTrendTop Driver
1Palestine7.8critical↑Deforestation Risk: 8.2/10
2Saudi Arabia7.3high→Deforestation Risk: 8.3/10
3Qatar7.2high→Deforestation Risk: 8.3/10
4Chad7.0high↑Urbanization Pressure: 8.1/10
5Mauritania6.9high→Deforestation Risk: 8.3/10
6South Sudan6.9high→Deforestation Risk: 7.3/10
7Burundi6.8high↑Urbanization Pressure: 8.2/10
8Oman6.7high→Deforestation Risk: 8.3/10
9Somalia6.7high↑Urbanization Pressure: 7.9/10
10United Arab Emirates6.6high→Deforestation Risk: 8.0/10
11Iraq6.6high→Deforestation Risk: 8.2/10
12Niger6.6high→Deforestation Risk: 8.2/10
13Nauru6.6high↓Deforestation Risk: 8.3/10
14Syria6.6high→Deforestation Risk: 8.1/10
15Ivory Coast6.5high→Deforestation Risk: 7.7/10
16Algeria6.5high→Deforestation Risk: 8.2/10
17Iran6.5high→Deforestation Risk: 7.8/10
18Mali6.5high↑Deforestation Risk: 7.4/10
19Jordan6.4high→Deforestation Risk: 8.2/10
20Kiribati6.4high→Deforestation Risk: 8.2/10
21Uganda6.4high↑Deforestation Risk: 7.4/10
22Yemen6.4high→Deforestation Risk: 8.2/10
23Afghanistan6.3high→Deforestation Risk: 8.2/10
24China6.3high→Emission Intensity: 10.0/10
25Curaçao6.3high→Deforestation Risk: 8.3/10

See the full picture

Environmental risk is one of five dimensions. Visit the Risk Dashboard to see all dimensions together, or the Country Risk Radar for deep-dives.

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Disclaimer: Logicon provides probabilistic forecasts based on open-source intelligence and machine learning models. Predictions are calibrated assessments of likelihood, not certainties. Past forecast accuracy is not a guarantee of future performance. Logicon is an analytical tool and does not constitute policy advice. All forecasts should be used in conjunction with professional judgement and additional intelligence sources.

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