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Risk Dashboard

Five dimensions of global risk

A unified view across geopolitical, economic, military, resource, and environmental risk. 250 countries scored on each dimension — see where the world is stable, and where the cracks are.

5.05.05.05.15.0
Global Averages (data year: 2025)
Geopolitical5.0
Economic5.0
Military5.0
Resources5.1
Environmental5.0
Geopolitical
5.0
Global avg
View details →
Economic
5.0
Global avg
View details →
Military
5.0
Global avg
View details →
Resources
5.1
Global avg
View details →
Environmental
5.0
Global avg
View details →

Strategic Powers Monitor

The nations that project power and shape global events — G7 members, nuclear powers, and regional hegemons whose decisions move markets and redraw borders.

#CountryCompositeDominant Risk
1Turkey6.1Geopolitical
2Israel5.7Military
3Russia5.5Military
4India5.2Environmental
5China5.1Geopolitical
6Brazil4.8Military
7United States4.8Environmental
8United Kingdom4.3Environmental
9France4.2Economic
10Italy3.7Resources
11Germany3.6Environmental
12Japan3.3Resources

Conflict Watch — Active & Elevated Threat

Countries ranked by combined military + geopolitical risk (60/40 weighted). Highlights active conflicts and elevated tensions regardless of economic or environmental scores.

#1Yemen
8.9
#2Sudan
8.7
#3Syria
8.6
#4Myanmar
8.2
#5South Sudan
8.0
#6Afghanistan
8.0
#7Iran
7.9
#8Libya
7.9

Top 5 Hotspots (Cross-Category)

#CountryCompositeDominant
1Yemen7.8Geopolitical
2Sudan7.5Military
3Palestine7.5Economic
4South Sudan7.3Geopolitical
5Syria7.2Military
Upgrade to STANDARD+ to see per-category breakdown and top 10 hotspots.

24-Month Structural Outlook

Forward-looking structural indicators — political instability probability (PITF model) and structural constraints that predict future crises.

Countries Deteriorating
3
Rising geopolitical risk YoY
Highest Instability Risk
South Sudan
PITF model
Most Constrained
Niger
Structural constraints
Instability Probability (top 10)
1South SudanMODERATE
2NigeriaMODERATE
3NigerMODERATE
4SomaliaMODERATE
5LiberiaMODERATE
6ZimbabweMODERATE
7GuineaMODERATE
8Central African RepublicMODERATE
9DR CongoMODERATE
10ChadMODERATE
Most Constrained (top 10)
1Niger7.7/10
2Mozambique7.4/10
3Republic of the Congo7.3/10
4Palestine6.9/10
5Benin6.7/10
6Central African Republic6.7/10
7Djibouti6.7/10
8Mauritania6.6/10
9South Sudan6.6/10
10Angola6.5/10
Full structural analysis →

Dive into each dimension

Click any category above to see the full country ranking with sub-dimension breakdowns. Or check the Country Risk Radar for individual country deep-dives.

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Logicon is a probabilistic geopolitical forecasting engine delivering calibrated predictions across 10 conflict regions, with ensemble ML, Brier-scored accuracy, and complete audit trails. Built for defence analysts and intelligence professionals.

Calibrated foresight for a complex world.

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Disclaimer: Logicon provides probabilistic forecasts based on open-source intelligence and machine learning models. Predictions are calibrated assessments of likelihood, not certainties. Past forecast accuracy is not a guarantee of future performance. Logicon is an analytical tool and does not constitute policy advice. All forecasts should be used in conjunction with professional judgement and additional intelligence sources.

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