This demonstration is based on the illustrative scenario described in the NATO DIANA Decision Superiority challenge statement. It shows how Logicon would process multi-source data as a crisis unfolds on NATO's Eastern Flank, updating escalation probability estimates in real-time as new information arrives.
How to read this page: This demonstration shows how Logicon augments the operational picture at each stage of an unfolding crisis. Logicon provides OSINT-fused probabilistic assessments using open data (GDELT, ACLED, OpenSanctions, AIS, social media). Tactical capabilities -- radar classification, ISR/SIGINT fusion, targeting, C2 workflows -- are handled by complementary modules within the broader MSS NATO platform. Logicon is one module in a larger system, not a replacement for it.
Baseline
Grey-zone activities and rising political tensions. Allied defences bolstered on Eastern Flank. Naval force deployed in Baltic Sea. Ground troops near border. Air defence on high alert.
- GDELT tone analysis: media sentiment shift detected across Baltic region (-2.1 avg tone)
- ACLED event correlation: grey-zone incidents mapped to historical escalation patterns
- OpenSanctions cross-reference: newly sanctioned entities linked to regional military procurement
- Bayesian prior set at P=0.25 based on multi-source feature vector
- Force posture tracking: allied unit deployment status and readiness levels
- C2 workflow: standing defence plans activated for Eastern Flank
- Secure communications: encrypted channels established between allied HQs
- Air defence radar network: continuous surveillance coverage confirmed
Key Drivers — T+0
Elevated GDELT event volume (+40% above baseline)
ACLED grey-zone incident count rising steadily
OpenSanctions: new entities flagged in region
This scenario demonstrates Logicon's role as an OSINT fusion and probabilistic forecasting module within the broader MSS NATO platform. Each new data point triggers re-evaluation across the full feature vector, producing calibrated probability estimates with explainable key drivers. Tactical capabilities (ISR, SIGINT, targeting, C2) are provided by complementary platform modules -- Logicon augments the decision picture, it does not replace it.